Dealmakers eye elections boost for $30 bn M&As if fears of fractured mandate, policy paralysis abate
The Indian mergers and acquisitions (M&A) market is likely to see increased momentum post Lok Sabha elections and experts believe overall deal values in India could exceed USD 30 billion this year if polls result in a stable government at the Centre – BJP PM candidate Narendra Modi and Congress’ Rahul Gandhi in fray as PM Manmohan Singh’s long stint set to end under cloud.
Post-elections, the pace is expected to be greater for inbound deals, which have been largely pushed back for many months now for want of better clarity on the policy stance of new government, experts said.
The deal street in India remained moderate during the first two months of the year with only 170 deals worth USD 4.2 billion as cross-border activity remained tepid, as per Grant Thornton data.
There is a strong sense in the market that the situation would improve post general elections provided the new government’s economic policies encourage FDI and make doing business in India easier.
Sanjeev Krishnan, Leader – PE & Transaction Services – PwC India said “if there is a stable government (BJP or any other), economic reforms would be back on the Government’s agenda“.
“Then India would be looked at much more positively by both strategic and PE investors.
“In terms of numbers, at the minimum, I expect overall deal values in India to exceed USD 30 billion this year and Private Equity investments to exceed USD 12.5 billion in 2014 -15. However, if a weak or significant coalition dependence emerges, the numbers could be much lower,” he said.